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Sunday, April 20, 2025

2022: Clay County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Clay County received $225.9 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $15,833 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 36.4% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a slight increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 32.5% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 3.9%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Clay County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $69.4 million (30.7% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $61.6 million (27.3%)—played a significant role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $4,431 in 2012 and $1,140 in 1970 to $4,866 in 2022, reflecting a 9.8% increase over the past decade and a 326.8% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $3,411 in 2012 and $230 in 1970 to $4,320, marking 26.6% and 1,778.3% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 21.4% of the total population, compared to 20.5% in 2012 and 15.5% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Clay County excluding public assistance amounted to $27,701 per capita in 2022, compared to $43,534 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $55.9 million, a 24.7% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $18.3 million, or 8.1% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Clay County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 1.4%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Clay County, 2022
Social Security Transfers [30.7%]Medicare Transfers [27.3%]Medicaid Transfers [24.7%]Income Maintenance Transfers [8.1%]

2022 Arkansas County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Dallas County141.81%25.81%29.3%20.6%36.3%8%$19,670
Phillips County243.17%20.96%24.1%18.6%34.8%15.8%$19,144
Chicot County341.67%22.16%24.9%22.3%35%11.1%$18,913
Sharp County442%25.63%32.4%28.6%19.5%7.4%$18,393
Bradley County536.92%19.4%25.2%22.7%36.6%9.6%$17,997
Woodruff County635.53%24.6%28.6%26.3%28.6%9.8%$17,877
Monroe County743.97%23.96%29.1%23%29.7%10.7%$17,641
Desha County835.68%20.23%26.8%23.5%30.6%11.8%$17,200
Baxter County938.64%30.72%40.1%28.3%14.7%5.4%$17,155
Ashley County1038.23%21.87%33.2%26.1%24.5%9%$17,085
Nevada County1141.25%21.69%28%22.7%32.4%8.6%$16,705
Stone County1245%27.98%35.5%26.8%20.3%7.7%$16,586
Searcy County1349%25.75%33.3%26.4%22.9%7.9%$16,502
Van Buren County1442.43%26.34%37.1%25.9%19.5%7.1%$16,315
Garland County1533.44%24.8%35%28.4%19.7%7.3%$16,220
Logan County1639.25%20.53%30.1%21.6%31.5%8.2%$16,030
Lawrence County1737.85%19.22%28.4%25.1%28.6%8.8%$15,999
Poinsett County1837.52%18.39%27.7%25.7%29.7%10.6%$15,958
Lafayette County1932.11%25.76%32.7%24%25.8%10%$15,957
Ouachita County2033%21.53%32.6%24.3%25%9.7%$15,898
Cleburne County2132.67%27.35%39.7%26.6%16.7%6.5%$15,833
Clay County2236.37%21.4%30.7%27.3%24.7%8.1%$15,833
Newton County2341.81%27.42%36.6%24.7%21%8.1%$15,817
St. Francis County2443.21%17.93%25.1%21.8%31.3%14.2%$15,410
Marion County2541.62%29.4%39.5%23.3%18.6%7.2%$15,283
Pike County2636.99%20.84%31.8%27%25.7%8.6%$15,272
Lee County2742.4%20.22%25.6%19.4%35.8%14.2%$15,185
Jefferson County2837.18%18.94%28%22.1%24.6%12.3%$15,163
Randolph County2936.6%19.24%28.5%27.3%24.6%8.8%$14,994
Montgomery County3039.39%27.44%37%22.8%22.2%7.7%$14,937
Fulton County3143.91%25.77%35.2%22.7%22.3%7.9%$14,931
Cleveland County3229%21.63%32.3%25%24.4%7.7%$14,855
Hempstead County3334.45%19.11%29.4%21.7%30%11.5%$14,794
Little River County3435.39%21.67%35.2%28.9%18.5%8.6%$14,754
Izard County3542.49%25%36.3%22%22.2%7.5%$14,726
Arkansas County3625.3%20.38%32.3%24.1%27.4%9.6%$14,626
Union County3728.44%19.48%34.2%24%24%9.9%$14,558
Polk County3836.7%23.32%35.4%24.5%18.8%9%$14,553
Drew County3931.13%18.33%29.4%22.3%27.9%10%$14,482
Howard County4030.61%18.93%31.8%24.8%25.3%10.8%$14,478
Clark County4134.13%16.59%28.4%20%33.8%8%$14,449
Jackson County4231%18.22%28.5%28.3%26.2%9.6%$14,248
Prairie County4332.7%24%34.2%26.1%24.2%7.6%$14,235
Mississippi County4432.72%15.83%27.5%21.6%29.3%14%$14,221
Columbia County4531.36%17.65%31.6%21.9%28.4%10.7%$14,204
Cross County4634.38%18.6%30.9%23.6%27.4%10.4%$14,129
Conway County4729.54%20%33.4%22.7%24.2%9.4%$13,997
Perry County4831.49%21.25%35.4%24.5%21.5%8.4%$13,939
Yell County4931.38%18.27%31.3%25%25.9%9.8%$13,817
Crittenden County5031.15%15.1%27.3%20.2%30.1%14.9%$13,728
Boone County5131.9%20.96%37.3%23.5%20.1%8.2%$13,514
Franklin County5231.91%20.38%35.4%24.1%21.1%8.3%$13,418
Hot Spring County5335.6%19.76%33.8%24.4%24.8%8.4%$13,405
Independence County5430%18.12%32.3%25.3%25%8.4%$13,283
Scott County5533.29%21.57%35.2%19.5%23.7%12.2%$13,282
Calhoun County5628.11%22.81%37.4%26.1%17.4%8.3%$13,217
Crawford County5730.84%17.92%33.9%24%21.4%9.1%$12,872
White County5829.1%16.84%33%24.7%21.4%9.3%$12,679
Pulaski County5920.27%16.66%31.8%21.3%23.7%10.7%$12,481
Carroll County6029.78%23.96%39.1%25.3%16.4%8.1%$12,426
Miller County6131%17.34%31.3%24.9%22.2%12.4%$12,416
Greene County6229.82%16.6%31.5%23.8%25.3%9.9%$12,394
Sebastian County6325.42%16.98%32.5%23.6%23%10.3%$12,297
Madison County6427.52%19.5%34.3%29.2%17.9%9.4%$12,219
Johnson County6534%17.66%33.8%21%23.8%11.4%$12,101
Grant County6626.16%18.71%35.9%25.5%19.3%7.4%$11,996
Pope County6728.35%16.56%33%23%23.5%8.9%$11,819
Saline County6822.4%18.46%37.3%24.3%21.8%6.7%$11,721
Lonoke County6923.78%14.76%31.2%22.6%19.7%8.2%$11,517
Lincoln County7034.5%15.12%28.5%26.8%28%9.5%$11,398
Craighead County7124.58%14.12%28.8%22.3%27.9%11.3%$11,398
Sevier County7225.36%14.56%29%23.6%24.1%12.7%$11,372
Faulkner County7322.31%13.93%30.8%19.6%28.5%8.5%$10,742
Washington County7417%12.37%33.9%21.8%21.2%10.3%$8,313
Benton County758.18%13.77%38.2%24.3%16.4%8.7%$8,086

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